about
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about
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Kate Middleton & Prince William's baby |
The Duchess of Cambridge is due in July, but which day? Boy or girl?
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Statistics:
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A pool entry/guess entails up to 9 components. The pool administrator chooses which components to include (in dark text below). An exact match results in a zero (0)—a perfect score—for that component. The overall score is the total points of all the active components.
Points are determined as follows:
Birth Date
1 point for each day of the week before or after actual (for instance, off by two weeks means 14 points).
Birth Time
A value ranging roughly between 0 – 3 points for time of day (approximately 0.12 points per hour difference. For instance, plus or minus 4 hours is approximately a half point; birth date is not part of the calculation, so clock time is relative and not calculated across the midnight boundary).
Gender
1 point if guess is wrong.
Length
1 point for every inch (or 0.3937 points per cm) greater or less than actual (technically, if the actual is 20 inches and the guess is of 19.999, then 1/1000 of a point is added, for example).
Weight
1 point for every lb (or 2.2 points per kg) greater or less than actual (technically, if the actual is 7 lbs and the guess is of 7.001, then 1/1000 of a point is added, for example).
Hair
1 point if guess is wrong.
Eyes
1 point if guess is wrong.
First Name & Middle Name
On average, one will gain 2 to 4 points for an incorrect guess.
The characters of a name are analyzed for similarity. Character parity, order, and count determine how close the guess is to the actual; phonetic distance is also taken into account.
For example, if the actual name is "Bart", then:
"Barry" scores better than "Bartholomew" (count: Bart [4], Barry [5], Bartholomew [11]).
"Brad" scores better than "Jill" (parity: Brad contains the 'a' & 'r', but Jill contains neither).
"Marli" scores better than "Keira" (order: both contain the 'a' & 'r' of Bart, but in Keira it occurs in the wrong order).
If the actual name is "Stu", then:
"Stew" scores better than "Stan" (phonetic: pronunciation usage of 'u' more closely related to 'ew' than 'an').
Case matters ('A' is not equal to 'a')!
There's also significant penalty points for a guess that looks like a non-guess: "?" or "???", for instance.
Note: When the administrator of the baby pool enters the Actual Results, some, but not all components may be filled in. Actual Results components of numeric type which are left blank will default to zero (0). Blank multiple choice components will display blank and 1 point is applied equally to all participants for that component. If the Actual Results are removed and re-entered (for the sake of corrections/additions), scores will be recalculated. If a pool component is deselected by the pool administrator, any data entered while it was active will be ignored by the total score calculation.
Date 